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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Reserve Bank of Australia: You can't say when you have confidence in inflation. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that you can't say when you have confidence in inflation, but the Committee has noticed weak data. Our forecast does show that inflation will slow down. If this happens, there will be a moment when we will be confident enough that inflation will return to the target range and start to relax interest rates. We will observe the upcoming data before the meeting in February next year and evaluate what these data mean for inflation and whether we can achieve our forecast.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The policy needs to be carefully considered. Recent data are mixed and somewhat weak.

Heavy meeting set the tone! The turnover of A-shares exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, focusing on the opportunities of core assets of A50ETF Huabao (159596). On December 10th, the A-share market rose across the board, and the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) had increased by 1.98%, with a turnover of 101 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks rose more and fell less. CITIC Securities led the gains, and China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other stocks followed suit. According to changjiang securities's analysis, "moderately loose monetary policy" indicates abundant liquidity and broad-spectrum interest rate is still in the downward channel, which is expected to benefit bonds and stocks from the denominator. The "more active fiscal policy" and "all-round expansion of domestic demand" indicate that the broad credit policy is expected to continue to increase, and it is expected to support the price of equity assets from the molecular side.Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.China Heihe-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. On December 10th, with the first passenger completing the exit formalities, China Heihe Highway Port-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. Passengers take buses from Heihe International Highway Passenger Station in China and Amoula Suo International Bus Station in Blagoveshchensk, Russia, respectively, and cross the Sino-Russian cross-border highway bridge, with four buses entering and leaving each country every day. After the official opening of passenger transportation at Heihe Highway Port, the functions of Sino-Russian highway ports have been further improved, providing a more convenient channel for cross-border communication. (CCTV News)

Hongya CNC: The income from exporting products to the US market is relatively low. Hongya CNC (002833) said on the interactive platform today that the company's products are exported to more than 70 countries and regions, and the income from the US market is relatively low.Junting Hotel is equal to Shenzhen's investment in establishing a hotel management company. According to the enterprise search APP, Junxing Hotel Management (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. was established with Zhu Xiaodong as its legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: hotel management; Conference and exhibition services; Fitness and leisure activities; Daily necessities sales; Office services; Parking service; Organize cultural and artistic exchange activities; Corporate image planning; Property management, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is jointly owned by Junting Hotel and Huakai Hotel Management (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.Reserve Bank of Australia: Potential inflation is still too high. There is still uncertainty about the prospects. The Committee is increasingly convinced that inflationary pressure is decreasing with the recent forecast, but the risk still exists. The Committee will continue to rely on data and changing risk assessments to guide its decision-making. Although the potential inflation is still at a high level, other recent economic activity data are mixed, but overall, November data is weaker than expected.